← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| themagicofcinema | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (391–158, n=549) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #635 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 58% (7 of 12 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −6 pts, n=15 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 497 at avg 71¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 5% of 97) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 38% of 29) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 76% of 45) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 66% (won 98% of 326) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | themagicofcinema | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $27K | Commanders $1.1M |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $10 | — | — | No $26K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | — | — | Yes $15K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $60 | — | — | Yes $10K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45 | — | — | Yes $9.3K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | — | — | Yes $6.4K |