← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| troim | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (290–531, n=821) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $89K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #895 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (32 of 75 open) | 75% (76 of 101 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 571 at avg 41¢, ROI +9% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 33% of 234) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 77% of 97) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 90% of 135) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 96% of 105) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | troim | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | No $445K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.1K | No $252K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.6K | Yes $39K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.3K | No $23K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | No $11K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | Yes $45K | — | — |