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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| troim | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (290–531, n=821) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $89K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #895 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (32 of 74 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 54% (33 of 61 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 571 at avg 41¢, ROI +9% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 33% of 234) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 77% of 97) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 90% of 135) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 96% of 105) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | troim | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | — | — | No $411K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.1K | — | — | No $252K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.6K | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $38K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.0K | — | — | No $24K |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | — | — | No $10K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |