← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| xtxpleasecallme | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 29% (6339–15859, n=22198) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 50% (992–980, n=1972) |
| Consensus PnL | $125K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (60 of 121 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=51 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 35% of 6676 at avg 28¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 67% (won 9% of 4479) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 67% of 503) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 89% of 439) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 99% of 1255) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | xtxpleasecallme | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $430 | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $174 | Yes $34K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $301 | No $32K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $50 | Yes $32K | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $108 | Yes $15K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $155 | No $292K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | No $881 | No $250K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $386 | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $141 | Yes $30K | — | — |