Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw?

Resolved No. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

No 80%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$23.7K

Combined PnL

-$190.3

Smart Money Signal

20 of 26 top traders (77%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No20 traders

Total Value$22.7K

Total Shares22,659

Combined PnL+$105.66

Yes6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,007

Combined PnL-$295.97

No — 77%Yes — 23%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp	Noavg 94.5¢	$10.6K	$10.3K	-$257.19	51% 27272-25818 (53090)
oieshfn345	Noavg 91.7¢	$3.7K	$3.6K	-$84.86	58% 2117-1562 (3679)
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872	Noavg 97.4¢	$2.1K	$2.1K	+$6.44	56% 8738-6795 (15533)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Noavg 89.4¢	$1.5K	$1.6K	+$86.25	53% 14954-13478 (28432)
SN SnakeBall	Noavg 98.3¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	+$0.96	51% 38648-37820 (76468)
38 38791873984189	Noavg 87.1¢	$1.3K	$1.4K	+$148.87	48% 63191-68207 (131398)
MA MadridTimeARB<$100	Yesavg 16.1¢	$920.34	$398.27	-$522.07	48% 1776-1912 (3688)
└ Yes leg	Yesavg 16.1¢	$563.14	—	-$563.14
└ No leg	Noavg 89.7¢	$357.21	$398.27	+$41.06
VE VenusianARB<$100	Noavg 90.3¢	$675.44	$496.89	-$178.55	49% 1844-1936 (3780)
└ No leg	Noavg 90.3¢	$448.52	$496.89	+$48.37
└ Yes leg	Yesavg 16.7¢	$226.92	—	-$226.92
GC GC-P	Noavg 84¢	$651.17	$550.63	-$12.44	64% 10179-5769 (15948)
LI LightParadox	Noavg 96.1¢	$409.39	$393.96	-$15.43	49% 1800-1902 (3702)
AH aHjCz	Noavg 97¢	$397.88	$410.17	+$12.29	36% 6093-11041 (17134)
AN Anon455	Noavg 71.3¢	$195.1	$273.73	+$78.62	55% 3814-3145 (6959)
LI LimousinARB<$100	Yesavg 23.2¢	$282.2	$115.36	-$166.84	50% 1850-1866 (3716)
└ Yes leg	Yesavg 23.2¢	$171.89	—	-$171.89
└ No leg	Noavg 95.6¢	$110.32	$115.36	+$5.05
PA Pan9X	Noavg 84.8¢	$603.6	$214.21	+$42.81	54% 10485-8797 (19282)
NM NM-PCTR	Yesavg 15¢	$201.43	—	-$201.43	64% 10182-5720 (15902)
PT PT-S7	Noavg 77¢	$147.99	$192.25	+$44.26	49% 3284-3450 (6734)
dips.	Noavg 80.8¢	$133.32	$165	+$31.68	47% 11040-12658 (23698)
LU LuckyLoo<$100	Noavg 92.3¢	$72.37	$78.41	+$6.04	49% 15008-15929 (30937)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	Yesavg 15.8¢	$60.57	—	-$60.57	46% 1795-2102 (3897)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	Yesavg 12¢	$31.62	—	-$31.62	50% 21821-22062 (43883)
RO Rocky31<$100	Noavg 95¢	$28.8	$30.32	+$1.52	75% 1985-674 (2659)
OD Oddstorm<$100	Noavg 85¢	$23.8	$28	+$4.34	48% 7449-7982 (15431)
tradecraftCTR<$100	Yesavg 0.9¢	$1.01	—	-$1.01	51% 6523-6284 (12807)
GO GoalLineGhost<$100	Noavg 80.5¢	$16.25	$20.18	+$3.93	50% 29172-29037 (58209)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100	Noavg 71¢	$10.65	$15	+$4.35	64% 5377-2997 (8374)

Flaznorp

Invested

$10,551.26

Value

$10.3K

PnL

-$257.19

Record

51%

27272-25818 (53090)

oieshfn345

Invested

$3,651.93

Value

$3.6K

PnL

-$84.86

Record

58%

2117-1562 (3679)

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

Invested

$2,124.88

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$6.44

Record

56%

8738-6795 (15533)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Invested

$1,468.55

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$86.25

Record

53%

14954-13478 (28432)

SnakeBall

Invested

$1,365.49

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$0.96

Record

51%

38648-37820 (76468)

38791873984189

Invested

$1,336.68

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$148.87

Record

48%

63191-68207 (131398)

MadridTimeARB<$100

Yes

Invested

$920.34

Value

$398.27

PnL

-$522.07

Record

48%

1776-1912 (3688)

Both legs:

Yes$563.1416.1¢-$563.14

No$357.2189.7¢+$41.06

VenusianARB<$100

Invested

$675.44

Value

$496.89

PnL

-$178.55

Record

49%

1844-1936 (3780)

Both legs:

No$448.5290.3¢+$48.37

Yes$226.9216.7¢-$226.92

GC-P

Invested

$651.17

Value

$550.63

PnL

-$12.44

Record

64%

10179-5769 (15948)

LightParadox

Invested

$409.39

Value

$393.96

PnL

-$15.43

Record

49%

1800-1902 (3702)

aHjCz

Invested

$397.88

Value

$410.17

PnL

+$12.29

Record

36%

6093-11041 (17134)

Anon455

Invested

$195.1

Value

$273.73

PnL

+$78.62

Record

55%

3814-3145 (6959)

LimousinARB<$100

Yes

Invested

$282.2

Value

$115.36

PnL

-$166.84

Record

50%

1850-1866 (3716)

Both legs:

Yes$171.8923.2¢-$171.89

No$110.3295.6¢+$5.05

Pan9X

Invested

$603.6

Value

$214.21

PnL

+$42.81

Record

54%

10485-8797 (19282)

NM-PCTR

Yes

Invested

$201.43

Value

—

PnL

-$201.43

Record

64%

10182-5720 (15902)

PT-S7

Invested

$147.99

Value

$192.25

PnL

+$44.26

Record

49%

3284-3450 (6734)

dips.

Invested

$133.32

Value

$165

PnL

+$31.68

Record

47%

11040-12658 (23698)

LuckyLoo<$100

Invested

$72.37

Value

$78.41

PnL

+$6.04

Record

49%

15008-15929 (30937)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$60.57

Value

—

PnL

-$60.57

Record

46%

1795-2102 (3897)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$31.62

Value

—

PnL

-$31.62

Record

50%

21821-22062 (43883)

Rocky31<$100

Invested

$28.8

Value

$30.32

PnL

+$1.52

Record

75%

1985-674 (2659)

Oddstorm<$100

Invested

$23.8

Value

$28

PnL

+$4.34

Record

48%

7449-7982 (15431)

tradecraftCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$1.01

Value

—

PnL

-$1.01

Record

51%

6523-6284 (12807)

GoalLineGhost<$100

Invested

$16.25

Value

$20.18

PnL

+$3.93

Record

50%

29172-29037 (58209)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100

Invested

$10.65

Value

$15

PnL

+$4.35

Record

64%

5377-2997 (8374)

Smart Money Signal

20 of 26 top traders (77%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x320ac4f8...5fe70a

Slug

bun-dor-elv-2026-11-07-draw

Traders in this Market

Flaznorp

No — $10.3K

-$257.19

oieshfn345

No — $3.6K

-$84.86

0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872

No — $2.1K

+$6.44

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

No — $1.6K

+$86.25

SnakeBall

No — $1.4K

+$0.96

38791873984189

No — $1.4K

MadridTime

Arbitrage — excluded

Venusian

Arbitrage — excluded

GC-P

No — $550.63

-$12.44

LightParadox

No — $393.96

-$15.43

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