Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. South Alabama Jaguars

15 of 20 top Polymarket traders hold South Alabama Jaguars (75%) · South Alabama Jaguars at 54¢ · $22K held · ended Nov 6

Jacksonville State Gamecocks47¢South Alabama Jaguars53¢Ended Fri, Nov 6, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

South Alabama Jaguars

Consensus Traders

South Alabama Jaguars 75%

Total Value

$22.2K

Combined PnL

$-1.8K

Smart Money Entry

61.7¢ → 53.5¢

-13% since entry · 15 traders

Research grade

AvoidSouth Alabama Jaguars at 54%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

South Alabama Jaguars

15 of 20 top traders (75%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Jacksonville State Gamecocks47%

South Alabama Jaguars54%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

South Alabama Jaguars15 traders

Total Value$17.7K

Total Shares29,962

Combined PnL$-2.2K

Jacksonville State Gamecocks5 traders

Total Value$4.6K

Total Shares10,984

Combined PnL+$324.86

South Alabama Jaguars — 75%Jacksonville State Gamecocks — 25%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

-6 pts consensus

Breadth

12 traders

Top 2 hold 72%

Freshness

Fresh

11h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

86% of non-arb traders are on South Alabama Jaguars. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 72% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleSouth Alabama Jaguars 100% · 3

Aligned

ctrSouth Alabama Jaguars 82% · 11

Aligned

Hand-pickedSouth Alabama Jaguars 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000South Alabama Jaguars 85% · 13

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HI hi774c	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 63.4¢	$6.5K	$6.5K	+$109.41	46% 5201-6053 (11254)
FL Flaznorp	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 60.6¢	$5.2K	$4.9K	-$307.42	51% 25823-24512 (50335)
0X 0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115CTR	Jacksonville State Gamecocksavg 36.7¢	$3.7K	$3.7K	+$31.92	44% 69-89 (158)
HO HomeRunHazard	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 63.2¢	$2.6K	$2.2K	-$396.7	54% 18232-15346 (33578)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 55.4¢	$2.4K	$1.4K	$-1.0K	46% 1548-1827 (3375)
FO forecastication4	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 65¢	$1.2K	$1.1K	-$36.24	50% 1380-1391 (2771)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR	Jacksonville State Gamecocksavg 38.2¢	$235.18	$508.38	+$292.7	51% 1905-1854 (3759)
SE sentrio	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 65¢	$524.36	$508.32	-$16.04	50% 25844-25552 (51396)
38 38791873984189	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 63.3¢	$1.1K	$417.53	-$330.62	48% 61256-66065 (127321)
PA panpidaras1CTR	Jacksonville State Gamecocksavg 86.6¢	$288.17	$291.16	+$2.99	48% 270-291 (561)
BO BoomLaLa	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 63.2¢	$347.49	$288.2	-$59.3	53% 12487-11218 (23705)
VeryLucky888	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 63.5¢	$127	$126	-$1	58% 46729-33688 (80417)
IC ic4cream<$100	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 66.1¢	$96.56	$91.98	-$4.58	56% 2771-2186 (4957)
PA Pan9X	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 61¢	$211.12	$69.88	-$81.76	54% 9751-8144 (17895)
CM cm2897CTR<$100	Jacksonville State Gamecocksavg 83.8¢	$66.63	$63.84	-$2.79	51% 2168-2100 (4268)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 39.5¢	$39.49	$49.99	+$10.5	82% 7367-1623 (8990)
RN1<$100	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 3.3¢	$6.8	$10.58	+$3.78	53% 61400-53704 (115104)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 63.5¢	$6.35	$3.15	-$3.2	52% 8780-7984 (16764)
0xheavy888<$100	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 63.3¢	$16.6	$1.05	-$15.55	56% 7923-6330 (14253)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Jacksonville State Gamecocksavg 41.2¢	$0.83	$0.87	+$0.05	53% 23655-20823 (44478)

hi774c

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$6,537.27

Value

$6.5K

PnL

+$109.41

Record

46%

5201-6053 (11254)

Flaznorp

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$5,216.91

Value

$4.9K

PnL

-$307.42

Record

51%

25823-24512 (50335)

0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115CTR

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Invested

$3,654.71

Value

$3.7K

PnL

+$31.92

Record

44%

69-89 (158)

HomeRunHazard

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$2,599.16

Value

$2.2K

PnL

-$396.7

Record

54%

18232-15346 (33578)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$2,401.27

Value

$1.4K

PnL

$-1.0K

Record

46%

1548-1827 (3375)

forecastication4

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$1,177.8

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$36.24

Record

50%

1380-1391 (2771)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Invested

$235.18

Value

$508.38

PnL

+$292.7

Record

51%

1905-1854 (3759)

sentrio

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$524.36

Value

$508.32

PnL

-$16.04

Record

50%

25844-25552 (51396)

38791873984189

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$1,084.84

Value

$417.53

PnL

-$330.62

Record

48%

61256-66065 (127321)

panpidaras1CTR

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Invested

$288.17

Value

$291.16

PnL

+$2.99

Record

48%

270-291 (561)

BoomLaLa

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$347.49

Value

$288.2

PnL

-$59.3

Record

53%

12487-11218 (23705)

VeryLucky888

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$127

Value

$126

PnL

-$1

Record

58%

46729-33688 (80417)

ic4cream<$100

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$96.56

Value

$91.98

PnL

-$4.58

Record

56%

2771-2186 (4957)

Pan9X

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$211.12

Value

$69.88

PnL

-$81.76

Record

54%

9751-8144 (17895)

cm2897CTR<$100

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Invested

$66.63

Value

$63.84

PnL

-$2.79

Record

51%

2168-2100 (4268)

ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$39.49

Value

$49.99

PnL

+$10.5

Record

82%

7367-1623 (8990)

RN1<$100

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$6.8

Value

$10.58

PnL

+$3.78

Record

53%

61400-53704 (115104)

ameisgoat11<$100

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$6.35

Value

$3.15

PnL

-$3.2

Record

52%

8780-7984 (16764)

0xheavy888<$100

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$16.6

Value

$1.05

PnL

-$15.55

Record

56%

7923-6330 (14253)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Invested

$0.83

Value

$0.87

PnL

+$0.05

Record

53%

23655-20823 (44478)

Research grade

AvoidSouth Alabama Jaguars at 54%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

Smart Money Signal

South Alabama Jaguars

15 of 20 top traders (75%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

-6 pts consensus

Breadth

12 traders

Top 2 hold 72%

Freshness

Fresh

11h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

86% of non-arb traders are on South Alabama Jaguars. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 72% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleSouth Alabama Jaguars 100% · 3

Aligned

ctrSouth Alabama Jaguars 82% · 11

Aligned

Hand-pickedSouth Alabama Jaguars 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000South Alabama Jaguars 85% · 13

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that South Alabama Jaguars wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance55.7%

53.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$79.40

Max Loss

-$100.00

179.4

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.