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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650xbf2342fds234423dFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)no settled market75% (743–249, n=992)55% (201–167, n=368)
Consensus PnL-$493K—$70K$227K
Tracked asPM monthly #11—PM monthly #14PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus43% (3 of 7 open)no open consensus position70% (95 of 136 open)72% (53 of 74 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%—52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)—31% (won 9% of 66)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)—27% (won 45% of 56)32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)—13% (won 68% of 28)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)—29% (won 97% of 61)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650xbf2342fds234423dFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $1.9K—Dartmouth Big Green $415Dartmouth Big Green $304
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90—Vikings $6Vikings $1.8K
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $19Bucks $3.5K
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $204Bucks $1.7K
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $65Under $1.0K
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $362Celtics $407
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $120Rockets $83
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Kansas City Roos
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
——Kansas City Roos $3.2KKansas City Roos $2.1K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $218Over $4.9K
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $83Under $2.6K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $93Over $2.6K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $90Over $2.3K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $86Over $2.2K
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $1.5KRockets $850
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $542Seahawks $1.5K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Bucks $353Bucks $1.4K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $266Pelicans $712
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $182Cavaliers $766
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $19Over $430
Spread: Kansas City Roos (-8.5)
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
——Kansas City Roos $115Kansas City Roos $274
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 151.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $203Under $184
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $217Raptors $19