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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankBurkilota1Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)58% (4539–3322, n=7861)45% (576–717, n=1293)62% (674–417, n=1091)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$145K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #3PM monthly #259PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus61% (11 of 18 open)88% (22 of 25 open)32% (12 of 37 open)78% (117 of 150 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +9 pts n=151, ROI +11%
  • Tennis +8 pts n=25, ROI +1%
  • NBA +8 pts n=28, ROI +11%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Crypto −2 pts, n=189Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%20% of 609 at avg 16¢, ROI +8%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)89% (won 15% of 540)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)35% (won 98% of 204)11% (won 61% of 67)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)35% (won 100% of 202)0% (won 50% of 2)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)20% (won 100% of 116)0%39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankBurkilota1Flaznorp
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $409KYes $42—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $46K——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K——Under $254
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $494
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2No $2.4K
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $6No $648
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs tao toma (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus tao toma
——QUINTESSÊNCIA $111tao toma $2
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $64K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KYes $2—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K——
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
——No $4No $610
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $4No $324