← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | rayvanmechelen | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4527–3305, n=7832) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 53% (2477–2212, n=4689) | 50% (20851–20547, n=41398) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $7.9M | $12K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (20 of 28 open) | 85% (28 of 33 open) | 56% (30 of 54 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 1031 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 2% (won 96% of 24) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 32% (won 98% of 333) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 51% (won 98% of 527) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 14% (won 97% of 147) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | rayvanmechelen | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | No $307 | No $15K |
| Magic vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $143K | — | Suns $10 | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $53K | — | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $11 | Yes $775 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona | — | — | SD Eibar $6 | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $6 | Yes $3 |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens same side · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $46K | Ravens $298K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $30K | Ravens $192K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $74K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $16K | Ravens $287 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions | East Texas A&M Lions $4.4K | — | East Texas A&M Lions $10 | — |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $6 |