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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)63% (990–573, n=1563)49% (1184–1254, n=2438)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$3.6M$3.6M$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #10PM monthly #90PM monthly #484
Sides with the consensus64% (16 of 25 open)71% (97 of 136 open)72% (53 of 74 open)45% (10 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 618 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)6% (won 100% of 38)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)19% (won 100% of 118)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)59% (won 100% of 362)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1Venusian
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254—Over $3
Magic vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $157KSuns $5.1K——
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $43KJaguars $305——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499——
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Oilers $403—Ducks $2.1K
Will FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $337—Yes $4
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132—Yes $96
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $266Heat $1.3K——
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $500Magic $770——
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $199—Over $203
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $271—Over $4
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $239—Yes $4
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $157—Florida Atlantic $60
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $48—Southern Miss $67