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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | robustmst | trgparking | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (41–49, n=90) | 68% (360–171, n=531) | 41% (12–17, n=29) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$451K | -$115K | $208K | -$1.7K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #43 + pinned | PM monthly #29 | PM monthly #644 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 59% (88 of 150 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% | 100% of 2 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 65% (won 78% of 36) | 100% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 29% (won 94% of 16) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 4% (won 50% of 2) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | robustmst | trgparking |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $127K | Kings $50 | — | — |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $17K | Heat $646 | — | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | Kent State $123 | Bowling Green $1.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $29 | Heat $663 | — | — |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $6 | Heat $272 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $50K | Celtics $24K | — | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $50K | Heat $12K | — | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns same side · consensus Suns | Suns $1.5K | Suns $9.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $6.6K | Suns $492 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | Kings $237 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Celtics | 76ers $73 | 76ers $873 | — | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $61 | Under $286 | — | — |