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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (591–675, n=1266) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $70K | $11.2M | $3.3M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #35 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (204 of 288 open) | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 62% (235 of 382 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | F1 −7 pts, n=25 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 2047 at avg 60¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 2% of 753) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 39% of 61) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 73% of 55) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 99% of 1178) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.