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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (1042–738, n=1780) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) |
| Consensus PnL | $286K | $8.4M | $3.2M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #886 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #109 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (179 of 223 open) | 88% (30 of 34 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (67 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −8 pts, n=41 | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1502 at avg 58¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 5% of 502) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 38% of 99) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 65% of 130) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 96% of 771) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.