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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeeaBreakTheBankbeachboy4CORGII
Record (consensus markets)41% (1101–1610, n=2711)45% (542–652, n=1194)68% (43–20, n=63)61% (395–248, n=643)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$10.6M$5.8M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #410PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus55% (32 of 58 open)90% (148 of 165 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +12 pts n=46, ROI +8%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −9 pts, n=137—NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won40% of 3652 at avg 41¢, ROI −3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 6% of 1254)10% (won 82% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 36% of 922)36% (won 98% of 198)30% (won 57% of 63)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 64% of 1045)35% (won 99% of 191)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 89% of 431)19% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeeaBreakTheBankbeachboy4CORGII
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.3KYes $274K——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20No $8.9K——
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $214No $202K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $348Yes $85K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.6KYes $31K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $850No $30K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $897Yes $22K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $161Yes $2.6K——
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K—Yes $66—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9Yes $164——