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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (1708–2602, n=4310) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.8M | $8.4M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #410 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (30 of 46 open) | 88% (30 of 34 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) | 51% (22 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Golf −13 pts, n=58 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 40% of 4281 at avg 41¢, ROI −3% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 6% of 1453) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 35% of 1091) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 64% of 1250) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 88% of 487) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.