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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | morito181 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 69% (533–239, n=772) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $1.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #132 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 66% (42 of 64 open) | 78% (121 of 156 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=19 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 71% of 920 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 22% (won 6% of 201) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 5% (won 43% of 47) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 6% (won 54% of 57) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 67% (won 96% of 615) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | morito181 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.9M | Yes $5.8K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $77K | No $13K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $70 | No $33K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $28K | Yes $1.4K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.0K | Yes $24K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.2K | No $25K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $287K | Yes $11K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $42K | No $16K | — |