Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241joseph00677RN1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)54% (695–581, n=1276)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$5.6M$14.8M$22K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #2PM monthly #18 + pinnedPM monthly #358
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (54 of 95 open)58% (104 of 178 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NBA +46 pts n=76, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=287, ROI +26%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=21, ROI +33%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 417 at avg 71¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)6% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)16% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)23% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)55% (won 100% of 230)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241joseph00677RN1Venusian
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea
opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
——Arthur Gea $13KJan-Lennard Struff $15K
Costa do Sauipe: Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli
opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli
——Rafael Tosetto $467Franco Roncadelli $3.1K
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Manchester United FC
——Manchester United FC $2.3KAS Roma $9
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.9KOver $4
Cali: Rebeka Masarova vs Alice Tubello
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
——Rebeka Masarova $15Alice Tubello $340
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3Yes $289
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $266Under $25
Watford FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $12Over $253
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Aston Villa FC
——Aston Villa FC $10FC Barcelona $254
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $127Yes $52
Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $35No $62
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $13Under $4
Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1Over $3
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.6KNo $23K
Villa Maria: Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Valerio Aboian
——Valerio Aboian $8.0KValerio Aboian $7.3K
Costa do Sauipe: Lucas Da Silva vs Lautaro Midon
same side · consensus Lautaro Midon
——Lautaro Midon $4.2KLautaro Midon $410
Cali: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Despina Papamichail
same side · consensus Despina Papamichail
——Despina Papamichail $3.3KDespina Papamichail $817
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jonas Forejtek
same side · consensus Kimmer Coppejans
——Kimmer Coppejans $3.1KKimmer Coppejans $609
Cali: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $837Bianca Andreescu $1.9K
Villa Maria: Valentino Grippo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri
——Genaro Alberto Olivieri $710Genaro Alberto Olivieri $620
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Villarreal CF
——Villarreal CF $321Villarreal CF $907
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $1.2KNo $46
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $540Under $439
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
——No $622No $339
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
——No $8No $369
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $222Under $14
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $53Under $146
Exact Score: Villarreal CF 2 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $128Yes $37
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $84Over $22
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——No $2No $86
Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $4Under $79
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $30Over $12
Watford FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9Under $31
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $5Yes $29
Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $24Under $8
Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1Over $22
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3Under $13
Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $3Over $3