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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7 | BreakTheBank | primm | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (1381–2069, n=3450) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 50% (1244–1255, n=2499) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | -$20K | $7.7M | $3.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #920 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #56 | PM monthly #75 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (19 of 34 open) | 76% (38 of 50 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −1 pts, n=17 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 26% of 1268 at avg 22¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 71% (won 7% of 899) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 60% of 152) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 75% of 149) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 85% of 68) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7 | BreakTheBank | primm | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $43 | — | — | No $1.2M |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $125K | Over $19K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Giants $139K | Eagles $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Giants $74K | Eagles $95 | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $114K | Colts $5.1K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $101K | Colts $98 | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | Yes $19K | — | — |