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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6528e4dfAE95B1a096C3ccE287Fb44C96C802006-1790896469009beachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)25% (7–21, n=28)no settled market52% (6524–6030, n=12554)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL-$555—$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #777—PM monthly #23PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus14% (1 of 7 open)no open consensus position78% (332 of 428 open)65% (130 of 199 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won50% of 2 at avg 42¢, ROI 0%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 0% of 1)—29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢0%—16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢0%—16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 1)—39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

105 on the same side, 52 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6528e4dfAE95B1a096C3ccE287Fb44C96C802006-1790896469009beachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $28KNo $17K
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $15KYes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $9.5KYes $106
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $8.9KOver $722
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.8KYes $3.3K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.7KOver $4.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $2.9KLuisina Giovannini $2.1K
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $4.8KNo $165
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
——Daniel Milavsky $1.1KMax Hans Rehberg $3.6K
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.1KOver $1.5K
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.8KUnder $204
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.2KYes $1.5K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.3KUnder $215
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.5KNo $312
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $765Over $2.0K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.7KOver $82
Will Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.5KNo $162
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.5KOver $12
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $37
Exact Score: Kuopion PS 1 - 0 KAA Gent?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $940No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Will FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.4KYes $24
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $89No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
AC Milan leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $929Yes $8
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $900Over $4
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $880Over $5
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $879Over $2
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $664Yes $137
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 2 Qairat FK?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $733Yes $33
NEC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $165Under $596
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Crystal Palace FC
——Crystal Palace FC $715TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $3
Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 0 - 0 Jagiellonia Białystok?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $619Yes $10
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $547No $31
W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry
opposite sides · consensus Sloane Stephens
——Sloane Stephens $371Luciana Perry $54
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 3 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $343No $13
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $311Yes $14
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Red Bull Salzburg
——FC Red Bull Salzburg $313RSC Anderlecht $10
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Julio Cesar Porras $60Ivan Gakhov $238
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Inter Club d'Escaldes
——Inter Club d'Escaldes $282FK Crvena zvezda $2
Exact Score: FK Crvena zvezda 1 - 2 Inter Club d'Escaldes?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $185No $61
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $108Warriors $130
Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $145Over $1
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $133Over $2
Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $10No $67