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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (1233–1284, n=2517) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $11.0M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #813 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 41% (31 of 76 open) | 67% (76 of 114 open) | 72% (28 of 39 open) | 61% (133 of 219 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=390 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 1392 at avg 46¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 10% of 523) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 40% of 246) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 64% of 199) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 88% of 424) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.