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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
8m1BreakTheBankRN1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (291–13, n=304)50% (65–65, n=130)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$8.4M-$22K—
Tracked asPM monthly #44PM monthly #1PM monthly #34 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus59% (17 of 29 open)82% (32 of 39 open)48% (44 of 91 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%——
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)——
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)——
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)——
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market8m1BreakTheBankRN1weflyhigh
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $54—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $765—Over $1.8K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $257—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4—Under $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $19—No $524—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $20—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $47—Yes $7—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $5—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5—Under $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $21—Over $360—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $240—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $24—Under $20—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2—Under $41—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—