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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x8f8883ecf250d19cef876e6be32188b27f2bca10 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (1269–1981, n=3250) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $53K | $11.0M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #975 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (4 of 9 open) | 67% (76 of 114 open) | 72% (28 of 39 open) | 63% (134 of 214 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 2119 at avg 37¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 48% (won 17% of 1023) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 39% of 536) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 60% of 345) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 86% of 215) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.