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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xbf2342fds234423dBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position82% (23 of 28 open)77% (312 of 403 open)64% (128 of 201 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

96 on the same side, 49 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xbf2342fds234423dBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $45KNo $47K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $17KOver $8.5K
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $14KYes $1.7K
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $9.7KOver $5.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $4.7KNo $4.9K
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $8.7KOver $722
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $8.1KYes $560
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $7.8KYes $106
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.7KOver $4.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $3.0KLuisina Giovannini $1.5K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
——Daniel Milavsky $552Max Hans Rehberg $3.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.3KUnder $215
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.7KOver $82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $560Over $2.0K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.5KOver $12
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $37
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $826Yes $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $544No $1.1K
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 3 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $35No $1.4K
Will FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.3KYes $13
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $833Yes $197
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
AC Milan leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $929Yes $8
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $900Over $4
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $880Over $5
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $875Over $2
NEC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $165Under $596
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $600Yes $137
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
——Greet Minnen $686Lisa Pigato $43
Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 0 - 0 Jagiellonia Białystok?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $619Yes $10
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $447Over $179
W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry
opposite sides · consensus Sloane Stephens
——Sloane Stephens $415Luciana Perry $54
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 2 Qairat FK?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $394Yes $19
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $334No $31
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $311Yes $14
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Red Bull Salzburg
——FC Red Bull Salzburg $313RSC Anderlecht $10
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Julio Cesar Porras $60Ivan Gakhov $238
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Inter Club d'Escaldes
——Inter Club d'Escaldes $282FK Crvena zvezda $2
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 3 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $245Yes $6
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $108Warriors $130
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $133Over $2
Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $124Over $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $29
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $107KNo $66K