← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (2817–3996, n=6813) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 66% (872–458, n=1330) |
| Consensus PnL | $164K | $5.8M | $11.0M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #94 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #25 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (98 of 117 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 83% (156 of 189 open) | 73% (95 of 130 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=697 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 2680 at avg 59¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 2% of 951) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 47% of 103) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 63% of 147) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 95% of 1479) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.