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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341 | RN1 | ndb1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (188–215, n=403) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $17K | $14.8M | $4.1M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #990 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 54% (30 of 56 open) | 68% (49 of 72 open) | 90% (148 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 202 at avg 57¢, ROI +44% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 88% of 17) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 99% of 69) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 100% of 50) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 100% of 66) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.