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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xheavy888 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4465–3340, n=7805) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $388K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #201 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (40 of 49 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | 63% (17 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −2 pts, n=2075 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 6272 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 8% of 590) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 42% of 1650) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 61% of 2401) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 82% of 1631) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xheavy888 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $41 | — | Commanders $32K | Commanders $125 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $27K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $14K | — | No $34K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11K | — | Yes $36K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $658 | — | — | Over $678 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $435 | — | — | Over $259 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | — | Yes $270K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $161K | Commanders $433 |
| Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Christian Langmo same side · consensus Christian Langmo | Jake Delaney $24 | — | — | Jake Delaney $2.4K |
| Senators vs. Ducks same side · consensus Senators | Ducks $12 | — | — | Ducks $657 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 38.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $30 | — | — | Under $476 |