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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
121212121212121212121212googleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)100% (2–0, n=2)43% (3–4, n=7)43% (165–222, n=387)67% (455–225, n=680)
Consensus PnL$2.8K$353K$42K-$137K
Tracked asPM monthly #555PM monthly #18PM monthly #45PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)57% (17 of 30 open)43% (12 of 28 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—0%6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 70% of 10)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—76% (won 85% of 41)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 3)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market121212121212121212121212googleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $46KThunder $35KTrail Blazers $21K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $3.2KThunder $242
Matsuyama: Fajing Sun vs Billy Harris
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
——Fajing Sun $790Billy Harris $469
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.2KUnder $71
W75 Brisbane: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Emerson Jones
opposite sides · consensus Emerson Jones
——Emerson Jones $403Chengyiyi Yuan $424
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Thunder $120Trail Blazers $426
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $265Under $46
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $25Over $267
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $22Thunder $208
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $6.8KTrail Blazers $710
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $636Trail Blazers $1.6K
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $77Trail Blazers $376
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $47Trail Blazers $315
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Thunder $137Thunder $166
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
——Trail Blazers $181Trail Blazers $13