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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

20YrsOfBoredom: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)64% (1097–630, n=1727)50% (17736–17519, n=35255)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.8M$2.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #98PM monthly #584
Sides with the consensus88% (35 of 40 open)74% (112 of 152 open)51% (54 of 106 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%92% of 12930 at avg 61¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)8% (won 60% of 989)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)21% (won 87% of 2698)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)38% (won 95% of 4911)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)34% (won 99% of 4332)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1omnibus-076daa
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $292KYes $11KYes $4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $651K—Yes $115
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $149
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409KNo $337K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $113K—Colts $2.9K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K—Yes $117
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $215
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $71
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41