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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
20YrsOfBoredomBreakTheBankndb1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (576–717, n=1293)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (15563–15624, n=31187)
Consensus PnL—$7.3M$4.8M$3.1M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #98PM monthly #140
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)73% (54 of 74 open)53% (101 of 192 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 15% of 186)8% (won 61% of 889)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)19% (won 39% of 267)21% (won 87% of 2410)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)23% (won 58% of 326)38% (won 95% of 4354)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 99% of 3754)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market20YrsOfBoredomBreakTheBankndb1omnibus-076daa
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.3K—Yes $180
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409KNo $337K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $25K—Yes $131
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $18K—Yes $258
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $11KYes $4
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6K—Yes $71
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $59
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28—Yes $41