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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
328.400.fundBreakTheBanke46m3keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (291–13, n=304)17% (155–752, n=907)43% (46–60, n=106)
Consensus PnL$494$8.4M$536K$119K
Tracked asPM monthly #100PM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #39
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)82% (32 of 39 open)73% (313 of 427 open)51% (18 of 35 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——Tech ±0 pts, n=36—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%—
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)7% (won 11% of 46)—
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)1% (won 86% of 7)—
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)1% (won 75% of 8)—
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)90% (won 100% of 565)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market328.400.fundBreakTheBanke46m3keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $425KYes $11—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $142K—Vikings $31K
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28KYes $108—
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.9K—Yes $19—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4KYes $318—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $108—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $27KYes $10—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $19KYes $369—
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $13K—Bills $4.7K
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $13KYes $12—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.6KYes $512—
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $4—
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
same side · consensus Yes
No $157—No $7—
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $49Yes $40—
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $29—