← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 38791873984189 | beachboy4 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (27041–30554, n=57595) | no settled market | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $78K | — | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 | — | PM monthly #140 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (355 of 542 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 64% (180 of 282 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
|
|
| Weakest topic | Soccer −2 pts, n=518 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 45% of 1991 at avg 44¢, ROI +1% | — | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 6% of 426) | — | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 59% (won 47% of 1178) | — | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 65% of 183) | — | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 91% of 204) | — | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
88 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | beachboy4 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3.2K | — | — | Yes $29K |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.1K | — | — | Yes $13K |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $15 | — | — | Yes $9.4K |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $30 | — | — | No $6.5K |
| Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $958 | — | — | Under $4.6K |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF $96 | — | — | AEK $5.2K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 0 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.1K | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus SK Slavia Praha | Arsenal FC $2.8K | — | — | SK Slavia Praha $538 |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 2 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.8K | — | — | Yes $1.5K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $559 | — | — | No $2.6K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.1K | — | — | Under $1.8K |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $875 | — | — | Under $1.6K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $678 | — | — | No $1.7K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $414 | — | — | Under $1.9K |
| Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $557 | — | — | Under $1.5K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $633 | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee opposite sides · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek | Jordan Lee $462 | — | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Athletic Club $24 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $164 | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6 | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.3K | — | — | Yes $19 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SK Slavia Praha | SK Slavia Praha $1.2K | — | — | Arsenal FC $75 |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | — | — | No $6 |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.1K | — | — | Under $12 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | No $759 | — | — | Yes $104 |
| Como 1907 leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $115 | — | — | No $734 |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $737 | — | — | No $66 |
| Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $543 | — | — | Under $8 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $537 | — | — | Over $12 |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt opposite sides · consensus Max Wiskandt | Hiroki Sakagawa $88 | — | — | Max Wiskandt $416 |
| Exact Score: FC Porto 2 - 3 SSC Napoli? opposite sides · consensus No | No $485 | — | — | Yes $12 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $26 | — | — | Yes $378 |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $369 | — | — | Under $6 |
| Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 1 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | No $364 | — | — | Yes $4 |
| Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 1 SSC Napoli? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $77 | — | — | No $273 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $222 | — | — | Grizzlies $118 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $146 | — | — | Over $165 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $16 | — | — | Yes $250 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $231 | — | — | Over $35 |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $232 | — | — | Under $29 |
| PSV leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $102 | — | — | Yes $88 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Athletic Club $142 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $47 | — | — | Over $86 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11 | — | — | Yes $90 |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $42 | — | — | Under $54 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $11 | — | — | Over $81 |
| Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 3 SSC Napoli? opposite sides · consensus No | No $68 | — | — | Yes $1 |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $64 | — | — | Under $2 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | Yes $6.3K | — | — | Yes $50K |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.1K | — | — | Yes $32K |