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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 881112 | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (345–688, n=1033) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $403K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #858 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (48 of 83 open) | 53% (33 of 62 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | College Football −12 pts, n=11 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 800 at avg 39¢, ROI +11% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 23% of 396) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 64% of 102) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 95% of 129) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 22% (won 100% of 173) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 881112 | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $279 | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $900 | — | — | No $590 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $413 | — | — | No $747 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | — | No $411K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.4K | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | — | — | No $35K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |