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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AmericaFirst1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (2087–1126, n=3213) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #750 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (11 of 21 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | 60% (25 of 42 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 1497 at avg 70¢, ROI +34% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 52% of 21) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 96% of 244) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 97% of 482) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 750) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AmericaFirst1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $54 | — | Raiders $24K | Jets $284 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $28 | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cardinals $1.1K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $2.1K | Ravens $376 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $378K | Bills $395 |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $734 | — | — | Bills $4.5K |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 26.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $795 | — | — | Over $4.0K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $698 | — | — | Buccaneers $3.6K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $390 | — | — | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $232 | — | — | Bills $2.7K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-9.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $518 | — | — | Buccaneers $2.3K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $415 | — | — | Under $2.1K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $454 | — | — | Buccaneers $2.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-14.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $400 | — | — | Bills $2.0K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $354 | — | — | Buccaneers $1.6K |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $286 | — | — | Bills $662 |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $55 | — | — | Bills $282 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $51 | — | — | Under $261 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-14.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $35 | — | — | Buccaneers $181 |
| Spread: Raiders (-5.5) same side · consensus Jets | Raiders $11 | — | — | Raiders $138 |