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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BiDiFakePollssainttroplayBreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)63% (193–115, n=308)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$127K$4.4M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #249was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus84% (37 of 44 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 98 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won85% of 226 at avg 66¢, ROI +16%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 48% of 25)0%10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 57% of 30)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 89% of 47)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 98% of 124)0%20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBiDiFakePollssainttroplayBreakTheBankCORGII
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $20K—No $184K—
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6.4K—No $102K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $26K—No $35K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $37K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.4K—No $22K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $670—No $24K—
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.9K—No $10K—
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $745—Yes $2.2K—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.6K—Yes $272K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $26K—Yes $169K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.0K—Yes $51K—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9.2K—Yes $4.1K—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $590—
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K—No $747—