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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Ethanael02 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (104–60, n=164) | 50% (15434–15508, n=30942) | 47% (14055–15545, n=29600) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$15K | $3.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #985 | PM monthly #60 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (26 of 34 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 59% (94 of 159 open) | 54% (19 of 35 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 0% | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 9% (won 86% of 7) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 32% (won 92% of 25) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 59% (won 96% of 46) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Ethanael02 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M25 Heraklion: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Benjamin Pietri opposite sides · consensus Benjamin Pietri | — | — | Benjamin Pietri $2.7K | Gilles Arnaud Bailly $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.6K | Over $1.5K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | Yes $154 | — |
| Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch | — | — | Remy Bertola $105 | Kilian Feldbausch $382 |
| Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig | — | — | Matej Dodig $96 | Tom Gentzsch $52 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $278K | — | Yes $3 | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | Yes $117 | — |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Dplus KIA | — | Bilibili Gaming $19K | Bilibili Gaming $29 | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | Yes $215 | — |
| Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou same side · consensus Coleman Wong | — | — | Coleman Wong $250 | Coleman Wong $10K |
| Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini | — | — | Lucrezia Stefanini $8 | Lucrezia Stefanini $3.8K |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.4K | — | Yes $64 | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $33 | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea | — | — | Mary Stoiana $332 | Mary Stoiana $561 |
| Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre same side · consensus Justina Mikulskyte | — | — | Tiphanie Lemaitre $99 | Tiphanie Lemaitre $379 |
| W75 Petange: Jessika Ponchet vs Veronika Podrez same side · consensus Veronika Podrez | — | — | Veronika Podrez $76 | Veronika Podrez $263 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | Yes $41 | — |