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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpGetsOnBaseprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)100% (3–0, n=3)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$80K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #179PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus79% (46 of 58 open)71% (114 of 161 open)100% (2 of 2 open)55% (12 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 2 at avg 47¢, ROI +60%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)0%5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)50% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)50% (won 100% of 1)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)0%5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpGetsOnBaseprimm
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KColts $63—Colts $5.7K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208K——Over $6.8K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $190K——Eagles $5.6K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142K76ers $764——
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K——Eagles $131
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16KNo $31K——
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13KCF Universidad de Chile $18K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K——Eagles $3.4K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $40076ers $614——
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $101K——Colts $94
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14KBulls $1.6K——