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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6403–5995, n=12398)63% (993–578, n=1571)65% (4204–2225, n=6429)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.6M$4.8M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #97PM monthly #994
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)75% (214 of 285 open)73% (54 of 74 open)53% (92 of 173 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 1212 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)4% (won 100% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)13% (won 100% of 156)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)26% (won 100% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)58% (won 100% of 703)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1Pan9X
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $67
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $10K—Over $25
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.9K—Over $32
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.8K—Over $11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $81
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.6K—Yes $139
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $40
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Over $139
76ers vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $1.0K—76ers $36
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $988—Under $4
Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hamburger SV
—Hamburger SV $773—Borussia Mönchengladbach $5
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $598—Over $11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $111
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $430—No $151
Spread: Ole Miss Rebels (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Arkansas Bears
—Central Arkansas Bears $535—Ole Miss Rebels $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $60
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $361—Over $154
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $381—Over $9
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $206—Over $181
Charlottesville: Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres Andrade
opposite sides · consensus Maks Kasnikowski
—Maks Kasnikowski $365—Andres Andrade $11
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $116
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $315—Under $7
Will Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $223—No $73
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $272—Over $3
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $217—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $211—Over $6
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $110—Over $61
Derby County FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $146—Over $8
Exact Score: Sevilla FC 0 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $66—No $36
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $87—Over $12
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Lautaro Midon
opposite sides · consensus Lautaro Midon
—Lautaro Midon $70—Gonzalo Bueno $11
Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $72—Over $7
Will Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $17—No $49
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $32—Under $14
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $19—Over $14
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K—No $337K—
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $16K—No $15
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $52
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.2K—No $193
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Everton FC
—Everton FC $7.2K—Everton FC $48
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.9K—No $74
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5K—No $16
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.0K—No $76
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Coventry City FC
—Everton FC $3.7K—Everton FC $9
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4K—No $79
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $105
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $356
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $102
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $994—Anna Blinkova $34
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $494—No $249