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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Limousin | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 56% (728–583, n=1311) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $161K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #161 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (64 of 113 open) | 58% (48 of 83 open) | 70% (26 of 37 open) | 50% (37 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 405 at avg 69¢, ROI +35% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 7% (won 100% of 27) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 21% (won 100% of 84) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 20% (won 100% of 80) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 53% (won 100% of 214) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Limousin | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $77K | — | No $1.9M | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.7K | — | No $1.4M | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $131K | — | Yes $822K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | No $258K | — | Yes $604K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $287K | — | No $79K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $50K | — | No $832 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli opposite sides · consensus Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | — | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo $1.8K | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $7.6K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Lucas Da Silva vs Lautaro Midon opposite sides · consensus Lautaro Midon | — | Lucas Da Silva $319 | — | Lautaro Midon $2.9K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes opposite sides · consensus Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | — | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes $725 | — | Luis Felipe Miguel $1.3K |
| Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $536 | — | No $1.0K |
| Cali: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Tamara Zidansek $60 | — | Bianca Andreescu $899 |
| Cali: Sofia Costoulas vs Marina Bassols Ribera opposite sides · consensus Marina Bassols Ribera | — | Marina Bassols Ribera $641 | — | Sofia Costoulas $4 |
| Villa Maria: Valentino Grippo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri opposite sides · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri | — | Genaro Alberto Olivieri $568 | — | Valentino Grippo $11 |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $28 | — | Under $139 |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Mirassol FC: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $12 | — | No $10 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $176K | — | Yes $321K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $28K | — | Yes $12K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida same side · consensus Facundo Acosta | — | Facundo Acosta $4.2K | — | Facundo Acosta $27K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli same side · consensus Franco Roncadelli | — | Franco Roncadelli $11K | — | Franco Roncadelli $9.5K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Daniel Galan vs Gonzalo Bueno same side · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | Daniel Galan $14K | — | Daniel Galan $4.9K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $3.6K | — | No $7.1K | — |
| Chennai Open: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Simona Waltert same side · consensus Simona Waltert | — | Simona Waltert $2.0K | — | Simona Waltert $5.4K |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $167 | — | No $3.2K | — |
| Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jonas Forejtek same side · consensus Kimmer Coppejans | — | Kimmer Coppejans $915 | — | Kimmer Coppejans $2.0K |
| Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $441 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $348 | — | No $19 |
| Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5) same side · consensus IK Sirius | — | Halmstads BK $3 | — | Halmstads BK $199 |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $4 | — | No $139 |
| Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $38 | — | No $46 |
| Cali: Rebeka Masarova vs Alice Tubello same side · consensus Alice Tubello | — | Rebeka Masarova $21 | — | Rebeka Masarova $12 |
| IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3 | — | Under $12 |
| IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $2 | — | Under $7 |