Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBanke46m3primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)75% (11522–3911, n=15433)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)47% (13886–15398, n=29284)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$680K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #1PM monthly #46PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (23 of 34 open)61% (360 of 593 open)no open consensus position54% (14 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +44 pts n=106, ROI +69%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1123, ROI +27%
  • MLB +19 pts n=52, ROI +21%
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=17——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%62% of 5423 at avg 55¢, ROI +29%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)38% (won 19% of 2052)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)7% (won 53% of 368)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)9% (won 72% of 497)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)46% (won 97% of 2506)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBanke46m3primmRN1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $407KYes $17——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12KYes $82——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0KYes $284——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $278KYes $98——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22KYes $9——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $297——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $13KYes $11——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $6——
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.4KYes $535——
SD Amorebieta vs. UD Logroñés: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $219—Over $627
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $50Yes $40——