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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBanke46m3primmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)63% (10877–6285, n=17162)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)50% (20646–20453, n=41099)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$649K$3.6M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #1PM monthly #53PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)66% (254 of 387 open)no open consensus position68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +45 pts n=121, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1164, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=150, ROI +19%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%62% of 5751 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)38% (won 18% of 2184)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)7% (won 53% of 393)41% (won 99% of 418)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)9% (won 71% of 531)49% (won 99% of 504)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)46% (won 97% of 2643)5% (won 100% of 47)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBanke46m3primmUpTheBlues
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $409KYes $18——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12KYes $68——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4KYes $312——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $8——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18KYes $357——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $12——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $6——
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3KYes $524——
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $48Yes $39——