← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | northdrawer | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 57% (10845–8104, n=18949) | 50% (15393–15458, n=30851) | 47% (13886–15398, n=29284) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | -$178K | $3.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #59 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (23 of 34 open) | 73% (225 of 309 open) | 54% (74 of 136 open) | 54% (14 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −3 pts, n=341 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 39% of 5489 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 57% (won 0% of 3123) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 2% (won 46% of 134) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 4% (won 61% of 222) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 37% (won 96% of 2010) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.