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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BunCaChamBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)97% (2611–69, n=2680)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL-$132K$10.6M$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #839PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus77% (10 of 13 open)72% (74 of 103 open)0% (0 of 4 open)54% (71 of 132 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +5 pts n=31, ROI 0%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports ±0 pts, n=908———
Settled positions, side won98% of 2644 at avg 97¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 13% of 24)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 70% of 27)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 65% of 31)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up97% (won 99% of 2562)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBunCaChamBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $895Yes $82K——
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59K—Cowboys $12K
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $273Yes $56K——
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $890Yes $51K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $18KYes $1.1K——
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.2KYes $12K——
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.6KYes $1.3K——
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cowboys $1.4K
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $551Yes $855——
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378K—Bills $28K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $11No $214K——
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Bills $18K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51K—Magic $228
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13K—Magic $161
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $4.0KNo $6.4K——