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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CannaeRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)52% (5944–5595, n=11539)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$1.2M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus63% (31 of 49 open)56% (80 of 142 open)72% (78 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +50 pts n=62, ROI +53%
  • NBA +44 pts n=316, ROI +40%
  • NHL +43 pts n=101, ROI +44%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 8672 at avg 61¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 99% of 778)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 1843)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 2554)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 3497)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCannaeRN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $11KRaiders $171K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $43Raiders $17K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $527No $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $274Over $2.4K—
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $346Yes $102—
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $28KBills $378K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $4.3KRaiders $104K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $13KNo $26K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.7KRaiders $24K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4KNo $6.7K—
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $127No $4.1K—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $2.6KNo $516—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
same side · consensus Toulouse FC
Toulouse FC $143Toulouse FC $1.8K—
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
No $9No $185—
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $36No $18—