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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ComingBackRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)61% (3977–2523, n=6500)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$74K$13.4M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #974PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus91% (20 of 22 open)56% (89 of 158 open)72% (79 of 110 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +15 pts n=1269, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=1640, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +11 pts n=207, ROI +13%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicPolitics −6 pts, n=123———
Settled positions, side won73% of 7547 at avg 65¢, ROI +9%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 23% of 77)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 56% of 1748)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 67% of 2819)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 89% of 2903)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketComingBackRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Raiders $2.0KJets $7.2KRaiders $171K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $2.0KCowboys $12KCardinals $59K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $4.6KMagic $228Magic $51K—
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K—
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $6.0KBrowns $255K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $62K—No $184K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $2.0K—Cardinals $35K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $423Raiders $17K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $2.7KFalcons $8.6K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K—
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $22KBills $378K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $4.3KRaiders $104K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.7KRaiders $24K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $20K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K—