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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpgagarin59RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)no settled market47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$3.6M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10—PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (103 of 136 open)no open consensus position52% (17 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)—10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)—22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)—35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)—33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpgagarin59RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: Warriors (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $1.2K—Warriors $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $698
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika
opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
Mio Mushika $2—Kanon Sawashiro $48
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
Harold Mayot $1.2K—Harold Mayot $2.8K
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2K—Under $245
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.7K—Under $338
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao
same side · consensus Katie Swan
Katie Swan $851—Katie Swan $1.1K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz
same side · consensus Han Shi
Han Shi $644—Han Shi $255
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $633—Warriors $87
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176—Under $42