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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpgagarin59RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)no settled market47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.3M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #123PM monthly #21—PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)67% (145 of 216 open)no open consensus position56% (76 of 136 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)—10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)—22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)—36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)—33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpgagarin59RN1
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $12KLakers $1.3K—Lakers $3
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $314Spurs $1.2K—Spurs $186
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Timberwolves $1.3KRockets $2.3K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $301—No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.4K—No $133
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Jazz $2.2K—Pelicans $280
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $274—Under $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $914Lakers $127——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $852—Under $106
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $332—Over $235
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Nuggets $351—Raptors $130
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $178—Under $169
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8—Under $300
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2—Over $278
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $99
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $188—Suns $6
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $93—Over $2
Raptors vs. Nuggets
same side · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $108KNuggets $5.9K——
Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $26K——Central Michigan $1.1K
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.6K——Raptors $275
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Omar Jasika
—Jake Delaney $497—Jake Delaney $4.2K
Flames vs. Kraken
same side · consensus Flames
—Kraken $119—Kraken $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $1.1K
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $613—Under $364
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $860—Lakers $17
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720—Under $20
Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $650—Under $35
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $633—Under $23
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $385—Timberwolves $130
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $285—Under $147
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239—Under $46
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Sharks vs. Kings
same side · consensus Sharks
Sharks $113Sharks $68——
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $17—Timberwolves $159
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $10—Yes $162
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $28
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $35—Over $29
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Mavericks $48—Mavericks $7