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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)52% (6582–6102, n=12684)63% (991–574, n=1565)65% (4184–2216, n=6400)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$3.2M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #92PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus75% (82 of 109 open)70% (52 of 74 open)56% (24 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)4% (won 100% of 41)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)13% (won 100% of 154)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)26% (won 100% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)58% (won 100% of 671)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1Pan9X
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K—Yes $73
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $80
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1K—No $2
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra Sasnovich $634—Maria Sakkari $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $112
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $60
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $361—Over $154
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $116
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $213—Over $6
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
opposite sides · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $45—Ben Shelton $31
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $53
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Under $105
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $494—No $249
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $586—Under $2
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $162—Dolphins $11