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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)63% (989–573, n=1562)65% (4155–2192, n=6347)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$3.6M$3.2M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #10PM monthly #91was PM monthly #983
Sides with the consensus63% (17 of 27 open)68% (136 of 199 open)72% (54 of 75 open)61% (96 of 157 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)4% (won 100% of 41)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)13% (won 100% of 154)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)26% (won 100% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)58% (won 100% of 671)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1Pan9X
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $36KJaguars $266—Jaguars $395
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Utah
Utah $8.7KUtah $443—Canadiens $76
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499—No $252
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
opposite sides · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4KEast Texas A&M Lions $1.3K—Rice Owls $13
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $29K——Jaguars $16
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $73
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $4.0K——Florida Atlantic $116
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $80
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Bruins $716—Penguins $15
Canucks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $707—Over $14
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $681—Maria Sakkari $12
UMBC Retrievers vs. Marist Red Foxes
opposite sides · consensus Marist Red Foxes
—Marist Red Foxes $646—UMBC Retrievers $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $112
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $60
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $361—Over $154
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $428—Warriors $28
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $409—Canucks $2
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $116
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $249—Over $43
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $239—Islanders $4
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $163—Over $68
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $213—Over $6
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Ducks $153—Oilers $48
Blues vs. Devils: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $168—Under $29
Canucks vs. Jets: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $130—Under $59
Blues vs. Devils: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $131—Under $52
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $24—Under $78
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $25—Under $64
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Utah $36—Canadiens $40
Spread: Lightning (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lightning
—Blackhawks $60—Lightning $13
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Red Wings
—Golden Knights $34—Red Wings $37
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Stars $38—Blue Jackets $13
Spread: DePaul Blue Demons (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus DePaul Blue Demons
—DePaul Blue Demons $5—South Florida Bulls $28
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Suns $1—Magic $18
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $3—Warriors $9
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
—Oilers $4—Ducks $8
Magic vs. Suns
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $138K——Magic $32
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $53
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Duke Blue Devils
same side · consensus Duke Blue Devils
—Duke Blue Devils $3.4K—Duke Blue Devils $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $105
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.0K—Over $11
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $1.2KMagic $412——
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. South Alabama Jaguars
same side · consensus South Alabama Jaguars
—South Alabama Jaguars $1.5K—South Alabama Jaguars $50
Albany Great Danes vs. Manhattan Jaspers
same side · consensus Manhattan Jaspers
—Manhattan Jaspers $1.5K—Manhattan Jaspers $14
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Under $39
Buffalo Bulls vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
same side · consensus Pittsburgh Panthers
—Pittsburgh Panthers $1.1K—Pittsburgh Panthers $126
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
same side · consensus Illinois Fighting Illini
—Illinois Fighting Illini $1.1K—Illinois Fighting Illini $52
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $54Over $1.1K——
Blues vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $980—Over $39