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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #96PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (236 of 342 open)74% (34 of 46 open)60% (142 of 238 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

57 on the same side, 41 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $343—Central Michigan $12K
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K—Over $462
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.8K—Over $490
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $437—No $2.6K
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $2.5K—Cavaliers $523
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317—No $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K—Yes $9
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K—No $124
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Over $159
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bulls $1.4K—Knicks $149
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1K—Over $100
Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.2K—Under $41
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $992—Bulls $64
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0K—Over $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $646—Under $140
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $754—Under $12
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $755—Celtics $5
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $739—Under $6
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $679—Bulls $11
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $93—Over $535
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $309—Over $255
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $472—Over $73
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $468—Over $44
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $396—Under $106
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $350—Grizzlies $118
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $117—Thunder $308
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $245—Pacers $155
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $208—Over $90
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Lakers $27—Kings $253
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $123—Over $86
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Trail Blazers $22—Suns $155
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $147—Under $2
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $31—Under $79
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $99—Over $2
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Nets $51—Hornets $35
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $23K—No $5.8K
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K—Yes $3.0K
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
Juan Carlos Prado $1.7K—Juan Carlos Prado $16K
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7.4K—Under $5.5K
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $8.5K—No $2.8K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
same side · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $171—Sacramento State $6.3K
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.7K—Over $165
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $5.3K—76ers $240
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $4.9K—No $498