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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (15496–15572, n=31068)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.2M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #102PM monthly #60PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (214 of 295 open)72% (95 of 132 open)61% (94 of 155 open)55% (17 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

36 on the same side, 44 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1omnibus-076daaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K—Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
W75 Petange: Dalma Galfi vs Amandine Hesse
opposite sides · consensus Amandine Hesse
Dalma Galfi $676—Dalma Galfi $4Amandine Hesse $10K
W35 Liberec: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Pia Lovric
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
Pia Lovric $21—Pia Lovric $198Oriana Gniewkowska $5
Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Tomas Etcheverry $10K—Tomas Etcheverry $5Tomas Etcheverry $20K
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $2.6K—Jurij Rodionov $5.5KJurij Rodionov $8.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $572——Over $3.3K
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.4K—Under $2.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.3K—Yes $100—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Taylor Fritz $537—Arthur Fils $1.9K—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0K—Under $1.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6K—Yes $16—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $576—Yes $348—
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $649—Yes $184—
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $514—Under $207—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1—Over $679—
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
GenOne $2——Brute $622
FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $50—Over $489—
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lincoln Red Imps FC
HNK Hajduk Split $275—Lincoln Red Imps FC $251—
Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Qairat FK
Qairat FK $261—Atalanta BC $258—
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $294—Yes $153—
FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $369—Over $12—
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $273—Yes $68—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $319—Over $7—
Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $138—Over $181—
M15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Vignesh Gogineni vs William Mirarchi
opposite sides · consensus Vignesh Gogineni
William Mirarchi $272—Vignesh Gogineni $42—
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $301—Yes $11—
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $300—Yes $3—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $261—Over $30—
Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $127—Under $163—
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Daniel Milavsky $114—Max Hans Rehberg $85—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14——Under $181
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $132—Yes $36—
Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $116—No $49—
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $134—Yes $2—
Energetik Mingechevir vs. Shahdag Qusar FK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $120—Yes $2—
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $15—No $21—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
FURIA $5—BetBoom Team $26—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8—Under $21—
Will Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $23—Yes $1—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3—Over $3—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2K——Yes $5.5K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KYes $4—
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.1K—No $177—