← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | shineforever | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 55% (68–56, n=124) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $4.2M | $3.6M | $120K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #139 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #222 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (192 of 288 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 73% (11 of 15 open) | 57% (8 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 38% of 104 at avg 37¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 63% (won 5% of 66) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 1% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 35% (won 100% of 36) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.